隨筆#3 - 投資的困境：元宇宙與太空探索｜FN#3 - The Dilemma of Investment: The Metaverse vs Space Exploration

當我們審視當前的投資格局時，可以考慮兩種截然不同的選擇：元宇宙和太空探索。雖然每個人都提出了自己的機遇和挑戰，但重要的是要記住，這些只是假設並可以進行討論。以下想法僅是我的個人意見，應按原樣對待。

元宇宙是一個人們花費大量時間的虛擬世界，吸引了風險資本家的興趣，他們看到了高增長和快速投資回報的潛力。通過營銷塑造和控制虛擬世界的前景無疑是誘人的。然而，同樣重要的是要考慮到元宇宙是一個脆弱的結構，容易受到黑客攻擊和其他形式的網絡干擾，這可能對個人和社會產生深遠影響。此類操縱可能包括傳播錯誤信息、審查和宣傳。

另一方面，太空探索提供了反脆弱性，因為它為科學發現和創新提供了獲取新資源和機會的途徑。這導致全球大國進行大量投資，他們將其視為獲取資源、提升軍事能力和增加全球影響力的一種方式。

確定更好的投資並不是一個簡單的答案，因為每個都有自己的優點和缺點。雖然元宇宙可能提供快速回報，但必須考慮這種投資的脆弱性。另一方面，太空探索提供了反脆弱性、獲取新資源的途徑以及科學發現和創新的機會，但也帶來了自身的挑戰。

目前吸引投資的元宇宙遊戲方面可能不是它最有前途的用例。然而，元宇宙的其他應用，例如遠程人類協作和數位雙胞胎，可能會提供反脆弱性，就像太空探索一樣。

歸根結底，全球大國做出的投資決定將極大地影響人類的未來，我們有責任仔細審查這些決定並質疑其背後的動機。虛擬宇宙與太空探索的投資困境是一個複雜而關鍵的問題，值得仔細考慮和公開討論。

As we look at the current investment landscape, it's important to consider two very different options: the metaverse and space exploration. While each presents its own opportunities and challenges, it's important to remember that these are merely hypotheses and open for discussion. The following thoughts are simply my personal opinions and should be taken as such.

The metaverse, a virtual world where people spend a significant portion of their time, has drawn interest from venture capitalists who see potential for high growth and fast returns on investment. The prospect of shaping and controlling the metaverse through marketing is certainly appealing. However, it's also important to consider that the metaverse is a delicate construct that is susceptible to hacking and other forms of cyber interference which could have a profound impact on both individuals and society. Such manipulations could include the spreading of misinformation, censorship, and propaganda.

On the other hand, space exploration offers antifragility, as it provides access to new resources and opportunities for scientific discovery and innovation. This has led to significant investment by global powers, who see it as a way to secure resources, advance their military capabilities, and increase their global influence.

Determining the better investment is not a straightforward answer, as each presents its own advantages and disadvantages. While the metaverse may offer quick returns, the fragility of such an investment must be considered. Space exploration, on the other hand, offers antifragility, access to new resources, and opportunities for scientific discovery and innovation, but also presents its own challenges.

It's possible that the gaming aspect of the metaverse currently attracting investment may not be its most promising use case. However, other applications of the metaverse, such as remote human collaboration and digital twins, may offer antifragility, much like space exploration.

Ultimately, the investment decisions made by global powers will greatly impact the future of humanity, and it's up to us to scrutinize these decisions and question the motivations behind them. The investment dilemma of the metaverse versus space exploration is a complex and crucial one that deserves careful consideration and open discussion.